The New York Connection

Friday, May 27, 2005


Same Old Polls

Via Political Wire:


In the Democratic New York City mayoral primary race -- 16 weeks before the vote -- Fernando Ferrer leads C. Virginia Fields, according to a new SurveyUSA poll. Ferrer gets 30%, Fields 23% with Gifford Miller in third place with 12% and Anthony Weiner fourth with 10%.


When you look at the specifics of the poll, you see that the whites are split, blacks flow to Fields, Hispanics to Ferrer, and Miller and Weiner have no clear base. It is interesting that Weiner draws a much less diverse group of supporters than Miller; it's probably because he's delivered fewer pothole fixes.

Overall, this is not great news. What I see in these numbers is that whites are mostly not paying attention, enough of them having decided to give their support to Bloomberg. Actually it's not so much that people are going to vote for Bloomberg, but that there's no conversation around who they can choose from.

No candidate has set the room on fire. Like that's news.

12 Comments:

At 11:23 AM, Blogger Jack said...

Interesting speculation on the polls. I linked your blog to a similar article on mine. I have a new blog that concentrates on NY area and national politics from the other side of the hudson. It's called the Jersey Perspective. www.jerseyperspective.blogspot.com

-Jack

 
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